Conventional wisdom--and plenty of experts--will tell you that it's much too early to predict the winner of the 2009 Tour de France. For one thing, the 21-stage, 3,459.5-kilometer race is barely into its second week. For another, the two top contenders - Astana teammates Alberto Contador and Lance Armstrong--are separated by just two seconds. Finally, the four toughest mountain stages are yet to come, including the most highly anticipated, Stage 20 (which finishes atop Mont Ventoux and, coming the day before the largely processional stage that marks the Tour's end in Paris, is the last chance for anyone to gain serious time).
Those are three good reasons to declare the race wide open. But they're also exactly why I believe Armstrong will win. (Read more...)
Guest Blogger, Bill of Bicycling Magazine
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